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Defence and crisis management: scenarios and future development

This short paper looks into how defence and crisis management in Europe are affected by the new US administration and Brexit.

It turns out to be a rather complicated equation. We have to look into the tripolar
political relationship between the UK, the US and Europe/the EU. The move of one
pole closer to the other affects the relative relations between all poles. At the same
time, the triangular relationship related to defence and crisis management implies that the overall external environment will heavily influence the development of the
need for defence and crisis management, whether the US, UK or Europe like it or not.

Major, Claudia and Mölling, Christian (2017) Defence and crisis management: scenarios and future development. UI Brief no. 5, May 2017.

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